Follow Live Twitter Forecasts for Senate Battleground States

Follow Live Twitter Forecasts for Senate Battleground States

Senate Battle Royale

The US midterm elections on November 4, 2014 may see a change in Senate control from the Democrats to the Republicans. This potential change raises the stakes of this year’s senate race considerably. There are several “battleground” states — states where the election could swing either way. Some key ones are Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, and North Carolina. For up-to-the-minute results, I use Twitter to forecast the current standings.

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How the Media Turned Ferguson Into the Race Issue It Isn’t

How the Media Turned Ferguson Into the Race Issue It Isn’t

Introduction

On August 9, 2014, Michael Brown, an unarmed man, was shot and killed by a police officer in the St. Louis suburb of Ferguson, Missouri. Police initially called the shooting regrettable, but justified. Other accounts suggested that Michael Brown had his hands raised and was in the process of surrendering when he was shot. Protests were organized on August 10. Most of the protests were peaceful, but some crowd members became unruly, leading to civil disorder in Ferguson which lasted for several days.
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What Did the World Say About Putin After the MH17 Tragedy?

What Did the World Say About Putin After the MH17 Tragedy?

Introduction

The downing of Malaysian Airlines Flight 17 on July 17, 2014 over the Crimean Peninsula was an international tragedy. It is believed that the plane was downed by a surface-to-air missile, killing all 283 passengers and 15 crew on board. With the debris field within rebel occupied territory, it wasn’t until July 23, 2014 –nearly a week later–before the victims could be identified and returned to their families.

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A League of their Own: The Impressive Numbers Behind Twitter’s Verified Accounts

A League of their Own: The Impressive Numbers Behind Twitter’s Verified Accounts

Introduction

Previously I looked at the churn, growth and following/follower dynamics for the typical Twitter user[1][2]. In those articles I found that the month-over-month churn was 1.2±0.1% and the growth was 9.8±0.2%. I further found that 11.95±0.6% of accounts are created and abandoned within the first month, leading to large amounts of “dark” accounts on Twitter. When looking at Twitter’s followers and followings, I found that the growth rate for both was fairly consistent: 2.39±0.13 followers/month and 2.47±0.16 followings/month. The close symmetry suggests that most Twitter users are following people who are following them.

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